About 11M sf of industrial space has vanished in NYC. Here's what happened to it - The Real Deal Magazine
New York City lost more than 11 million square feet of industrial space to rezonings between 2007 and 2016, according to a new report.
Although several large rezonings of manufacturing space in the city went into effect during the early 2000s, millions of industrial square feet have also been rezoned over the past decade, an analysis by Ariel Property Advisors found. Some properties been transformed into residential lofts and offices, but a surprising amount remains vacant about 2.3 million square feet.
The majority of these rezonings in the last decade took place in Manhattan, which lost 4.54 million square feet of industrial space across 230 lots, and Brooklyn, which lost 4.12 million square feet across 454 lots, the data show. Queens lost 1.28 million square feet of industrial space across 368 lots, while the Bronx lost 1.05 million square feet across 124 lots, and Staten Island lost just 63,519 square feet across 15 lots, according to the report.
Ariel Property Advisors also examined how much of this industrial space was replaced with residential space.
Brooklyn led the way in how much residential space was gained from the loss of industrial space with 2.74 million square feet across 117 lots, according to the report. Manhattan was next with 1.58 million square feet across 64 lots, followed by Queens with 490,000 square feet across 42 lots, the Bronx with 570,000 square feet across nine lots and Staten Island with 2,730 square feet across two lots.
In some cases, once the industrial building saw the wrecker, nothing replaced it. Of the 2.3 million square feet of formerly industrial space that became vacant, 1.6 million square feet of it was found in Brooklyn.
Maybe people had plans to build up something else. In the meantime, they got rid of whatever industrial property was there, and now theres nothing, said Aryeh Orlofsky, head of research at Ariel Property Advisors.
Prominent examples of rezonings in the last decade include:
Ariel Property Advisors put together its report by comparing New York City planning and land use data (called PLUTO) between 2016 and 2007, counting lots where the building class changed from industrial to anything else. It also tabulated lots that showed a decrease in total industrial building area.
PLUTO data is a useful but imperfect way to analyze the amount of changing industrial space in the city, since it does not always account for mixed-use or vacant buildings. A previous study commissioned by the city found that manufacturing space throughout the five boroughs decreased by 855 acres from 2002 to 2012 due to rezonings.
Ariel Property Advisors Brett Campbell was surprised to see that Manhattan lost the largest amount of industrial square footage between 2007 and 2016, saying he did not realize the borough had that much industrial space to lose.
The Bronx, on the other hand, saw a comparatively low amount of industrial space converted, which the report attributed to the lack of an established condominium market and relatively cheap rents in the borough.
Theres just a lot of demand for industrial space up there, Campbell said, so its probably more lucrative for someone to just keep the building as industrial and rent it out to an industrial tenant than to try to convert it into something else.
But this is starting to change.
People who are forward thinking and aware of the opportunities are starting to take that step, said Orlofsky, but until prices are established, and it makes sense to do that, you wont see the numbers up very high.